Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Nacional
NAC
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nacional37%
Draw30%
Académico Viseu33%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.12
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–011.3%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
34%Possession37%
27%Territory29%
59%From set plays14%
0.06Chance quality0.08
7.9%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Nacional, 2 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.