Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Famalicão
FAM
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Famalicão48%
Draw29%
Arouca24%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.92
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–011.0%
- 2–09.1%
- 0–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession56%
38%Territory43%
43%From set plays6%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Famalicão, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.