Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Estoril
ESO
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estoril38%
Draw26%
Marítimo36%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.51
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession48%
33%Territory31%
9%From set plays56%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estoril, 2 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estoril
Marítimo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 90 matches, not the full season.