Liga Portugal · Matchweek 11
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estrela da Amadora14%
Draw19%
Benfica68%
Expected goals
0.98 – 2.30
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–18.5%
- 1–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
47%Possession66%
35%Territory52%
15%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.13
5.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Estrela da Amadora, 4 for Benfica.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.