Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
Benfica
BEN
Alverca
ALV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica65%
Draw20%
Alverca15%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.03
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession33%
36%Territory24%
18%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.13
3.1%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Benfica, 2 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.