Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
Benfica
BEN
Alverca
ALV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica82%
Draw12%
Alverca6%
Expected goals
2.85 – 0.68
Over 2.5
68%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.2%
- 3–011.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.0%
- 4–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Alverca will not mind.
66%Possession42%
52%Territory32%
30%From set plays37%
0.13Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Alverca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.