Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
FC Porto
FCP
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Porto80%
Draw14%
Estoril6%
Expected goals
2.58 – 0.63
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.7%
- 3–011.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Estoril will not mind.
59%Possession41%
39%Territory30%
37%From set plays20%
0.20Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Porto, 3 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.