Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
Marítimo
MAR
Santa Clara
SAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo21%
Draw28%
Santa Clara51%
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.48
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marítimo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession48%
28%Territory32%
67%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marítimo, 3 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.