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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Gil Vicente

GIL

Vitória de Guimarães

VIT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gil Vicente44%
Draw29%
Vitória de Guimarães27%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.00

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1013.3%
  • 1113.0%
  • 0010.8%
  • 019.5%
  • 218.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Gil Vicente will not mind.

47%Possession58%
35%Territory40%
10%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Vitória de Guimarães

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.