Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
Gil Vicente
GIL
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente38%
Draw31%
Vitória de Guimarães31%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.06
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–012.0%
- 0–111.2%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession57%
31%Territory42%
14%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gil Vicente, 1 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Gil Vicente
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Vitória de Guimarães
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 14 of 88 matches, not the full season.