Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Casa Pia AC5%
Draw12%
Sporting CP83%
Expected goals
0.56 – 2.68
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–214.3%
- 0–312.4%
- 0–110.9%
- 0–48.1%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting CP will have the ball; Casa Pia AC will not mind.
42%Possession66%
42%Territory46%
52%From set plays6%
0.06Chance quality0.14
6.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.