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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Braga

BRA

Famalicão

FAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Braga51%
Draw28%
Famalicão21%

Expected goals

1.46 – 0.87

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1014.7%
  • 1112.3%
  • 0010.9%
  • 2010.0%
  • 219.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Braga will have the ball; Famalicão will not mind.

61%Possession49%
49%Territory38%
23%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.08
3.1%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.