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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 10

Académico Viseu

ACA

Rio Ave

RIO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Académico Viseu48%
Draw27%
Rio Ave26%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.12

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Académico Viseu will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.

47%Possession39%
24%Territory29%
17%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.08
8.3%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 3 for Rio Ave. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.