Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães54%
Draw26%
Marítimo20%
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.95
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Marítimo will not mind.
58%Possession50%
40%Territory28%
26%From set plays67%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.9%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 3 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.