Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Santa Clara
SAN
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Santa Clara22%
Draw27%
Benfica50%
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.50
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–29.4%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Santa Clara will not mind.
48%Possession66%
32%Territory52%
14%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santa Clara, 4 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Santa Clara
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.