Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Rio Ave
RIO
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rio Ave22%
Draw29%
Famalicão49%
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.42
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.5%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão will have the ball; Rio Ave will not mind.
39%Possession49%
29%Territory38%
27%From set plays43%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rio Ave, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.