Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Nacional
NAC
Braga
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nacional19%
Draw24%
Braga57%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.2%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.7%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga will have the ball; Nacional will not mind.
47%Possession61%
29%Territory49%
23%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness3.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nacional, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.