Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Gil Vicente
GIL
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente19%
Draw26%
FC Porto55%
Expected goals
0.84 – 1.58
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.5%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.7%
- 0–09.8%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Gil Vicente will not mind.
47%Possession59%
35%Territory39%
10%From set plays37%
0.14Chance quality0.20
4.7%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.