Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Estoril
ESO
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estoril47%
Draw27%
Moreirense27%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.15
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Estoril will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
41%Possession33%
30%Territory23%
20%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.11
8.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Estoril, 4 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.