Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estrela da Amadora64%
Draw21%
Casa Pia AC15%
Expected goals
2.04 – 0.93
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.1%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession42%
35%Territory42%
15%From set plays52%
0.09Chance quality0.06
5.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Estrela da Amadora, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.