Liga Portugal · Matchweek 9
Alverca
ALV
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alverca37%
Draw28%
Arouca35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Alverca will not mind.
42%Possession56%
32%Territory43%
37%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alverca, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.