Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Benfica
BEN
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Benfica73%
Draw17%
Vitória de Guimarães9%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.74
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.7%
- 1–011.4%
- 3–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Benfica will have the ball; Vitória de Guimarães will not mind.
66%Possession58%
52%Territory40%
30%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Benfica, 3 for Vitória de Guimarães. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Benfica
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.