Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Moreirense
MOR
Gil Vicente
GIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Moreirense24%
Draw28%
Gil Vicente48%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.48
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.9%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Gil Vicente will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
33%Possession47%
23%Territory35%
37%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Moreirense, 3 for Gil Vicente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Moreirense
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.