Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Marítimo
MAR
FC Porto
FCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marítimo10%
Draw18%
FC Porto72%
Expected goals
0.71 – 2.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.3%
- 0–112.5%
- 0–39.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Porto will have the ball; Marítimo will not mind.
50%Possession59%
28%Territory39%
67%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.20
7.0%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marítimo, 3 for FC Porto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.