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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8

Casa Pia AC

CAS

Santa Clara

SAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Casa Pia AC15%
Draw25%
Santa Clara60%

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.65

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

42%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0115.9%
  • 0212.4%
  • 1111.0%
  • 0010.2%
  • 129.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession48%
42%Territory32%
52%From set plays14%
0.06Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Casa Pia AC, 3 for Santa Clara. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.