Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Braga
BRA
Sporting CP
SCP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga23%
Draw26%
Sporting CP51%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.61
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.0%
- 1–111.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.9%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Braga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
61%Possession66%
49%Territory46%
23%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.14
3.1%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Braga, 3 for Sporting CP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.