Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Arouca
ARO
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arouca40%
Draw26%
Estrela da Amadora34%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.39
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Arouca will have the ball; Estrela da Amadora will not mind.
56%Possession47%
43%Territory35%
6%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arouca, 4 for Estrela da Amadora. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.