Liga Portugal · Matchweek 8
Académico Viseu
ACA
Estoril
ESO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Académico Viseu39%
Draw28%
Estoril33%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.28
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession41%
24%Territory30%
17%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Académico Viseu, 3 for Estoril. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Académico Viseu
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.