Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Vitória de Guimarães
VIT
Moreirense
MOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Vitória de Guimarães57%
Draw24%
Moreirense19%
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Vitória de Guimarães will have the ball; Moreirense will not mind.
58%Possession33%
40%Territory23%
26%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.11
5.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Vitória de Guimarães, 4 for Moreirense. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Vitória de Guimarães
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.