Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Sporting CP
SCP
Arouca
ARO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sporting CP80%
Draw14%
Arouca6%
Expected goals
2.58 – 0.65
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.4%
- 3–011.2%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sporting CP will have the ball; Arouca will not mind.
66%Possession56%
46%Territory43%
6%From set plays6%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sporting CP, 3 for Arouca. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sporting CP
Arouca
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.