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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7

Santa Clara

SAN

Braga

BRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Santa Clara37%
Draw31%
Braga33%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.11

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1012.1%
  • 0011.6%
  • 0111.3%
  • 217.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Braga will have the ball; Santa Clara will not mind.

48%Possession61%
32%Territory49%
14%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness3.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Santa Clara, 4 for Braga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.