Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Nacional
NAC
Famalicão
FAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nacional28%
Draw29%
Famalicão43%
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.35
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–112.7%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Famalicão get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession49%
29%Territory38%
23%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.9%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nacional, 3 for Famalicão. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Famalicão
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.