Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Gil Vicente
GIL
Marítimo
MAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gil Vicente57%
Draw25%
Marítimo17%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.83
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marítimo get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
47%Possession50%
35%Territory28%
10%From set plays67%
0.14Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gil Vicente, 3 for Marítimo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.