Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Estoril
ESO
Casa Pia AC
CAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estoril54%
Draw26%
Casa Pia AC21%
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.95
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Casa Pia AC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
41%Possession42%
30%Territory42%
20%From set plays52%
0.07Chance quality0.06
8.1%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Estoril, 3 for Casa Pia AC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Casa Pia AC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.