Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Estrela da Amadora
EST
Académico Viseu
ACA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estrela da Amadora55%
Draw23%
Académico Viseu22%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.16
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession47%
35%Territory24%
15%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Estrela da Amadora, 3 for Académico Viseu. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Académico Viseu
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 53 matches, not the full season.