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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Wolfsburg

WOL

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg39%
Draw28%
Bochum33%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.26

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Bochum will not mind.

62%Possession45%
39%Territory39%
20%From set plays38%
0.06Chance quality0.10
4.1%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.