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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC28%
Draw26%
Magdeburg46%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.66

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Karlsruher SC will not mind.

45%Possession60%
40%Territory38%
32%From set plays44%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.