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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 26

Kaiserslautern

KAI

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern41%
Draw26%
1. FC Nürnberg33%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.44

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Kaiserslautern will not mind.

44%Possession61%
29%Territory42%
19%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.