2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 26
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arminia Bielefeld25%
Draw28%
Hertha BSC47%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.45
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.7%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.6%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC will have the ball; Arminia Bielefeld will not mind.
43%Possession59%
34%Territory39%
33%From set plays7%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arminia Bielefeld, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arminia Bielefeld
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.