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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg57%
Draw22%
Energie Cottbus21%

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.23

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Energie Cottbus will not mind.

61%Possession45%
42%Territory31%
24%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness8.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.