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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25

Magdeburg

MAG

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg50%
Draw24%
Dynamo Dresden26%

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.26

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Dynamo Dresden will not mind.

60%Possession49%
38%Territory31%
44%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.