2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25
Hertha BSC
HER
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC61%
Draw24%
Holstein Kiel16%
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.84
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 2–011.5%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC will have the ball; Holstein Kiel will not mind.
59%Possession45%
39%Territory28%
7%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Holstein Kiel. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.