2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25
Darmstadt
DAR
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt48%
Draw27%
Karlsruher SC25%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.07
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
38%Territory40%
22%From set plays32%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.