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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig50%
Draw27%
Greuther Fürth22%

Expected goals

1.53 – 0.96

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession50%
35%Territory27%
17%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.06
5.9%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.