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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 25

Bochum

BOC

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bochum43%
Draw28%
Kaiserslautern29%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.15

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 0–08.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession44%
39%Territory29%
38%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.