2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 24
Karlsruher SC
KAR
St. Pauli
STP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Karlsruher SC31%
Draw27%
St. Pauli43%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.52
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; Karlsruher SC will not mind.
45%Possession56%
40%Territory42%
32%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for St. Pauli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.