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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Kaiserslautern

KAI

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern39%
Draw26%
FC Heidenheim35%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.47

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Heidenheim get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession51%
29%Territory34%
19%From set plays45%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.