Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Holstein Kiel

HOL

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Holstein Kiel40%
Draw30%
Eintracht Braunschweig30%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.05

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–011.2%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession51%
28%Territory35%
30%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.08
7.2%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Holstein Kiel, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.