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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Hannover 96

HAN

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9643%
Draw26%
Magdeburg30%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.31

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Hannover 96 will not mind.

50%Possession60%
37%Territory38%
44%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.