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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Hertha BSC

HER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Greuther Fürth17%
Draw23%
Hertha BSC60%

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.85

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.3%
  • 0–210.7%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; Greuther Fürth will not mind.

50%Possession59%
27%Territory39%
18%From set plays7%
0.06Chance quality0.15
6.7%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.