2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
St. Pauli
STP
Energie Cottbus
ENE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Pauli58%
Draw23%
Energie Cottbus19%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.08
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; Energie Cottbus will not mind.
56%Possession45%
42%Territory31%
31%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness8.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for St. Pauli, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.