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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg54%
Draw23%
Karlsruher SC23%

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.21

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Karlsruher SC will not mind.

61%Possession45%
42%Territory40%
24%From set plays32%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.